Seven monitors. Structured analysis, weekly executive briefings, and living knowledge pages on AI governance, democracy, geopolitics, and the present.
Sudan drives the week's highest escalation signal — RSF capture of Kurmuk displaced 73,000 people in a single event, with indicators for rhetoric, economic warfare, diplomacy, and displacement all above initial baseline simultaneously.
Read briefing →China's state formalisation of AI tokens as an economic settlement unit and OpenAI's compute reallocation from video synthesis to robotics pre-training are this week's two structural signals — geopolitical AI architecture is now being built in terminology committees as much as in data centers.
Read briefing →Russia's Social Design Agency confirmed operating from the Budapest Embassy ahead of Hungary's April 12 election; Meta's largest-ever Russia-attributed CIB takedown; Turning Point Action's Alliance of Sovereign Nations operational across European far-right.
Read briefing →System stress at ELEVATED -> HIGH with zero bullish asset class scores: consumer confidence at a GFC-trough, a Hormuz supply disruption embedding a $15-20 oil premium, and private credit gate risk the most underpriced systemic trigger in the model.
Read briefing →Tisza leads Fidesz by 23 points with 13 days to Hungary's April 12 election; Georgia's new March 2026 law package completes its civil society capture architecture; and the Philippines enters the heatmap as a new Rapid Decay entry after CIVICUS adds it to its Watchlist at Repressed rating.
Read briefing →Hungary election crisis deepens with BBC voter intimidation expose and confirmed Russian political technologists in Budapest; NATO reports 20% European defence spending increase; Slovenia election produces razor-thin result amid Israeli Black Cube interference.
Read briefing →AMOC freshwater flux anomaly enters a third consecutive week — the strongest sustained early-warning signal since the FovS proxy metric was established — while Thwaites glacier grounding line retreat exceeds IPCC upper projections and Amazon vegetation stress expands to 450,000 km².
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