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Signal Detail
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Regime Shift Probabilities

Analyst probability of transitioning out of current regime within 3 months.

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Fed Funds & Sentiment Overlay
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Macro Scenarios
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Fed Funds Path — Market vs. Analyst
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Domain Indicators
40 granular indicators across 6 systemic risk domains
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Tail Risk Matrix
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Asset Class Scores — Visual

Current score vs prior score for all 8 asset classes. Bars coloured by direction: red = bearish, green = bullish.

Current (bearish) Current (bullish) Prior score
Asset Outlook Summary
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Safe Haven Positioning

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Positioning Overlay

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Key Judgments

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Central Bank Tracker

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Tariff Tracker

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Debt Dynamics

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Credit Stress

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Systemic Risk

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Real M2 — Deflator Waterfall

Nominal M2 growth progressively deflated. Each bar shows real purchasing power of money supply after removing a different inflation measure.

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Score History

Asset class score evolution over time, derived from the persistent baseline version history.

Cross-Monitor Flags
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